Lovely bit of writing: “A Eulogy for Skeumorphism” by Claire Evans. Definitely worth a read, especially as Apple’s iOS 7 and Microsoft Windows 8 propel us into into a new world of non-skeumorphic user interfaces.
My favourite line: “As we employ the desktop metaphors, ubiquitously and unthinkingly, we incant the past”.
Personally I believe that elements of skeumorphism that are now being sent to the great bit-bucket in the sky will reappear in due course. Even digital natives grow up in the physical world, so physically-inspired design elements like visible affordances and shadows simply make sense.
Despite the current shift away from skeumorphism, smart user interface designers will gradually slip in those aspects of skeumorphism that work, while tossing out the gaudy excesses which Apple in particular did so much to promote.